Midyear Outlook 2025: Pragmatic Optimism, Measured Expectations
We started 2025 on a high note, although we acknowledged that “no market environment is ever permanent, and that change is always potentially around the corner.” Well change did come, and with it, volatility, perhaps in part because we assumed President Trump’s...
Weekly Market Commentary | What History Teaches Us About Fed Hikes & Stocks | September 14, 2026
Printer Friendly Version A hot CPI print. Friday’s slightly hot Consumer Price Index (CPI) report lifted the bond market’s odds of a rate hike from the Federal Reserve (Fed) this week to near 90%. Markets take it in stride. The positive reactions from stocks and bonds were interesting, suggesting that perhaps market participants have been…
Weekly Market Commentary | Signs Point to a Normalization, Not a Crisis | September 8, 2026
August delivered the loudest bond market narrative in years, and almost none of it survived contact with the price action. Total public debt crossed $40 trillion on August 18. The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield reached 5.33% intraweek, a level last seen in 2007.
Why Income Matters More Than Price for Bond Returns
LPL Research explains why bond price swings may grab headlines, but income remains the primary driver of long-term fixed income returns.
Housing, Jobs Send Mixed Economic Signals
LPL Research discusses what it means when the gap is widening between mortgage rates and the prevailing rates existing mortgage holders pay.
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