Research

Midyear Outlook 2025: Pragmatic Optimism, Measured Expectations

We started 2025 on a high note, although we acknowledged that “no market environment is ever permanent, and that change is always potentially around the corner.” Well change did come, and with it, volatility, perhaps in part because we assumed President Trump’s policies would simply mirror those of his prior term. The impact of policy…

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Weekly Market Commentary
Market Signal Podcast
Macro. Market. Movers

Competitors to the Greenback Are Less Significant

Let’s develop a scenario to explain the importance of foreign exchange (FX) markets and specifically, the dominance of the U.S. dollar. Say, for example, Thailand, one of the world’s major rice exporters, engages in trade with Brazil, the second‑largest cotton exporter…

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